SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | North Korea |
55.42% ( -5.22) | 23.61% ( 1.1) | 20.97% ( 4.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( 3.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% ( 1.26) | 49.04% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( 1.13) | 71.12% ( -1.13) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( -1.38) | 17.54% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.92% ( -2.46) | 48.08% ( 2.46) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% ( 5.4) | 37.81% ( -5.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.42% ( 4.89) | 74.58% ( -4.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | North Korea |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -1.18) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( -1.55)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.83% ( -1.22)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.67)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.67)Other @ 1% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.98)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.68)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.52)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.4)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.33)Other @ 1.59% Total : 20.97% |
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