Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Paksi SE had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Paksi SE win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.