SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 73.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 7.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.45%) and 3-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.12%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Paraguay |
73.98% ( 0.86) | 18.28% ( -0.26) | 7.74% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 33.35% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( -0.76) | 54.1% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( -0.63) | 75.53% ( 0.64) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.81% ( 0.03) | 13.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.1% ( 0.05) | 39.9% ( -0.05) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.42% ( -1.92) | 61.58% ( 1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.56% ( -0.96) | 91.44% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Paraguay |
| 2-0 @ 16.66% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 16.45% ( 0.5)3-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 73.96% | 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.28% | 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.92% Total : 7.74% |
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