SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Colombia |
54.32% ( 0.21) | 26.27% ( -0.08) | 19.41% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.78% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.53% ( 0.13) | 60.47% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.4% ( 0.1) | 80.6% ( -0.1) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( 0.15) | 22.46% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( 0.22) | 56.01% ( -0.22) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.89% ( -0.07) | 46.11% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.19% ( -0.05) | 81.81% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 15.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 54.3% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.41% |
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