SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Algeria |
18.69% ( -0.04) | 24.95% ( 0) | 56.36% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.06% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.14% ( -0.05) | 56.86% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.22% ( -0.04) | 77.78% ( 0.04) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.08) | 44.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.21% ( -0.06) | 80.79% ( 0.07) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( -0) | 20.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.57% ( -0.01) | 52.43% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 18.69% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 14.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.58% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 56.34% |
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