SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Algeria |
22.94% ( 0.82) | 24.27% ( 0.4) | 52.79% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( -0.8) | 49.57% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( -0.72) | 71.59% ( 0.72) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( 0.33) | 36.18% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% ( 0.33) | 72.97% ( -0.33) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( -0.76) | 18.73% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.89% ( -1.3) | 50.1% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burundi | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.85% Total : 22.94% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.18% Total : 52.79% |
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