SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Algeria |
26.72% ( -0.44) | 26.37% ( 0.2) | 46.91% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.17% ( -1.02) | 54.82% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.87% ( -0.85) | 76.12% ( 0.85) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% ( -0.91) | 35.75% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.47% ( -0.95) | 72.53% ( 0.94) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( -0.33) | 23.36% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.67% ( -0.48) | 57.32% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.72% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.91% |
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