SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Peru had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Argentina |
20.46% ( -0.05) | 26.8% ( 0.05) | 52.74% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.86% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.85% ( -0.21) | 61.15% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.9% ( -0.16) | 81.1% ( 0.16) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.67% ( -0.17) | 45.33% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.8% ( -0.14) | 81.19% ( 0.14) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( -0.09) | 23.44% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( -0.13) | 57.44% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.46% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 15.41% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 11.18% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 52.74% |
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