SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 85.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 4.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.85%) and 1-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | El Salvador |
85.06% ( -0.12) | 10.87% ( 0.09) | 4.07% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 35.29% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% ( -0.34) | 36.89% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.93% ( -0.37) | 59.07% ( 0.37) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.8% ( -0.09) | 6.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.58% ( -0.25) | 23.43% ( 0.25) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.62% ( -0.13) | 62.38% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.18% ( -0.06) | 91.82% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | El Salvador |
| 2-0 @ 14.94% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 13.85% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 85.04% | 1-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 10.87% | 0-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.05% Total : 4.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
