SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.08%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Honduras |
63.72% ( 0.13) | 23.05% ( 0.02) | 13.23% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 38.42% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( -0.31) | 58.27% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( -0.25) | 78.9% ( 0.25) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( -0.07) | 17.92% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.27% ( -0.12) | 48.73% ( 0.12) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.81% ( -0.43) | 53.19% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.23% ( -0.27) | 86.77% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 16.38% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 63.71% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 13.23% |
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