SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Ecuador win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Argentina |
| 22.29% | 24.33% | 53.38% |
| Both teams to score 50.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% | 50.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% | 72.4% |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% | 37.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% | 74.09% |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% | 18.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ecuador | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.93% 2-1 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.29% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 11.73% 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 5.37% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.38% |
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