SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 9.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.33%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.29%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Venezuela |
| 68.91% | 21.5% | 9.58% |
| Both teams to score 32.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.69% | 60.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.53% | 80.47% |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% | 16.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.16% | 46.84% |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.88% | 61.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.79% | 91.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 18.33% 2-0 @ 16.33% 3-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 4.77% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 2.13% 5-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.58% Total : 68.91% | 0-0 @ 10.29% 1-1 @ 9.03% 2-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 5.07% 1-2 @ 2.22% 0-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.04% Total : 9.58% |
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