SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 9.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.86%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.08%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Estonia |
69.14% ( -0.02) | 21.8% ( -0) | 9.06% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 30.18% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.72% ( 0.06) | 62.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.06% ( 0.04) | 81.94% ( -0.05) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( 0.01) | 17.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.04% ( 0.03) | 47.96% ( -0.03) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.57% ( 0.09) | 63.43% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.69% ( 0.04) | 92.3% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Estonia |
| 1-0 @ 19.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 16.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 69.14% | 0-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 9.06% |
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