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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 28, 2022 at 12.05am UK
Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano
MN

Honduras
0 - 1
Mexico


Arriaga (6'), Lopez (69'), Maldonado (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (70')
Herrera (28'), Arteaga (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Honduras vs. Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Honduras 1-3 Mexico

Since the start of this qualifying cycle, the Mexicans have rarely looked like the giants of CONCACAF that we are used to seeing, but they face a group in Honduras who still allow their share of clear-cut scoring opportunities, which El Tri should be able to bury. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
HondurasDrawMexico
17.27%24.34%58.39%
Both teams to score 43.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.5%56.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51%77.49%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66%46.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02%81.98%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77%19.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08%50.92%
Score Analysis
    Honduras 17.27%
    Mexico 58.39%
    Draw 24.33%
HondurasDrawMexico
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-1 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.64%
3-1 @ 1.11%
3-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 17.27%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 8.91%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 14.69%
0-2 @ 12.11%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-3 @ 6.66%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-4 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 58.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Panama 1-1 Honduras
Friday, March 25 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: USA 3-0 Honduras
Thursday, February 3 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Honduras 0-2 El Salvador
Monday, January 31 at 12.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Honduras 0-2 Canada
Friday, January 28 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Honduras
Sunday, January 16 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-1 Honduras
Wednesday, November 17 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 USA
Friday, March 25 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Panama
Thursday, February 3 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Costa Rica
Sunday, January 30 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Mexico
Friday, January 28 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Chile
Thursday, December 9 at 3.05am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 2-1 Mexico
Wednesday, November 17 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America


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