SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Estonia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan | 3 | -8 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Moldova |
55.83% ( -0.04) | 23.69% ( 0.01) | 20.47% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.3% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.02% ( -0.03) | 49.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( -0.02) | 71.95% ( 0.02) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.26% ( -0.03) | 17.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.59% ( -0.04) | 48.41% ( 0.04) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.15% ( 0.01) | 38.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.42% ( 0.01) | 75.57% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Moldova |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 55.82% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 20.47% |
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