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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
MN

Austria
4 - 1
Moldova

Arnautovic (4', 55' pen.), Trimmel (22'), Ljubicic (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nicolaescu (60')
Posmac (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 10.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.74%) and 3-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.94%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawMoldova
67.87%21.74%10.38%
Both teams to score 34.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62%59.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.24%79.76%
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13%16.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.11%46.89%
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.07%58.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.9%90.09%
Score Analysis
    Austria 67.87%
    Moldova 10.38%
    Draw 21.74%
AustriaDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 17.69%
2-0 @ 15.74%
3-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 4.94%
4-0 @ 4.16%
4-1 @ 2.2%
5-0 @ 1.48%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 67.87%
0-0 @ 9.94%
1-1 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.26%
1-2 @ 2.47%
0-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 10.38%

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