SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Turkmenistan |
50.07% ( 0.04) | 26.19% ( -0) | 23.74% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( -0.02) | 56.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( -0.02) | 77.29% ( 0.02) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( 0) | 22.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.89% ( 0.01) | 56.11% ( -0.02) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.83% ( -0.05) | 39.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.12% ( -0.05) | 75.88% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Turkmenistan |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.74% |
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