SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Turkmenistan |
51.05% ( 0.2) | 25.82% ( -0.02) | 23.13% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.59% ( -0.07) | 55.41% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.39% ( -0.05) | 76.61% ( 0.06) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( 0.06) | 21.76% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.06% ( 0.09) | 54.94% ( -0.09) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.21) | 39.27% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.02% ( -0.19) | 75.98% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Turkmenistan |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 51.04% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.14% |
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