SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Chile had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Chile |
50.16% ( -0.01) | 21.32% ( -0) | 28.52% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 67.92% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.04% ( 0.01) | 30.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.67% ( 0.01) | 52.33% ( -0.01) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( 0) | 12.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.72% ( 0) | 39.28% ( -0) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.01) | 22.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( 0.01) | 55.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Chile |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.29% 4-3 @ 1.2% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.3% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.52% |
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