SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Qatar |
43.92% ( 0.04) | 25.71% ( -0.01) | 30.38% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% ( 0.02) | 50.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( 0.02) | 72.26% ( -0.02) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( 0.03) | 22.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( 0.05) | 56.55% ( -0.04) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( -0.01) | 30.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( -0.01) | 66.83% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Qatar |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.91% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.38% |
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