SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chile had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.97%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Chile |
| 65.12% | 22.04% | 12.84% |
| Both teams to score 39.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.48% | 55.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% | 76.7% |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% | 16.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% | 46.15% |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.85% | 52.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.9% | 86.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 15.48% 2-0 @ 13.97% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.28% Total : 65.12% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 2.96% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.59% 1-2 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.15% Total : 12.84% |
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