Chile boast the stronger of the two squads, but La Paz is a notoriously tough place to visit, and, as a result, we cannot quite split the teams.
With both desperate for a crucial victory to try and sneak into the top five, the two nations could cancel out each other's efforts on Tuesday and settle for a share of the spoils that benefits neither.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Chile had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
