SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Qatar |
34.67% ( 0.07) | 27.53% ( -0.03) | 37.8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.48% ( 0.11) | 56.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.49% ( 0.09) | 77.51% ( -0.09) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.1) | 30.84% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( 0.12) | 67.12% ( -0.12) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( 0.03) | 28.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.22% ( 0.03) | 64.78% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Canada | Draw | Qatar |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.8% |
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