SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Chile had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Chile win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Uruguay in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Uruguay |
| 32.19% | 22.95% | 44.86% |
| Both teams to score 64.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.07% | 36.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.89% | 59.11% |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% | 22.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% | 16.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% | 47.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Uruguay |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 4.22% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.19% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.28% Total : 44.86% |
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