SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Honduras |
45.96% ( 0.16) | 26.54% ( -0.06) | 27.5% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( 0.17) | 55.03% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% ( 0.14) | 76.3% ( -0.14) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( 0.15) | 23.9% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( 0.21) | 58.11% ( -0.21) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( 0.01) | 35.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( 0.01) | 71.99% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| El Salvador | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 27.5% |
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