SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Djibouti | Draw | Mauritius |
30.72% ( 0.66) | 24.35% ( 0.07) | 44.93% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% | 44.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( -0) | 66.61% ( 0) |
| Djibouti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( 0.44) | 27.31% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% ( 0.56) | 62.76% ( -0.56) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.31) | 19.83% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( -0.51) | 51.91% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djibouti | Draw | Mauritius |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 44.93% |
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