SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mauritius | Draw | Malawi |
47.59% ( -0.03) | 23.07% ( -0.01) | 29.33% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.98% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.01% ( 0.06) | 38.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.69% ( 0.06) | 61.3% ( -0.07) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( 0.01) | 16.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.42% ( 0.03) | 46.57% ( -0.03) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.05) | 25.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.07) | 60.47% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritius | Draw | Malawi |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 4.3% Total : 47.59% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.33% |
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