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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 15, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
DN

Niger
7 - 2
Djibouti

Adebayor (14', 36', 75'), Wonkoye (62'), Sosah (64'), Djibrilla (86', 87')
Oumarou (49'), Wonkoye (68'), Van Attenhoven (70'), Sabo (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Abdi Ahmed (33'), Siad Isman (85')
Bourhan Hassan (66'), Aden Warsama (69'), Abdulaziz Mohamed (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Niger would win this match.

Result
NigerDrawDjibouti
46.83%23.48%29.69%
Both teams to score 60.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28%40.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9%63.1%
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34%17.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.73%48.26%
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76%26.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66%61.33%
Score Analysis
    Niger 46.83%
    Djibouti 29.69%
    Draw 23.47%
NigerDrawDjibouti
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.61%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 46.83%
1-1 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-1 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 29.69%

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