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International Friendly
Sep 28, 2022 at 1am UK
Audi Field
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El Salvador
1 - 4
Peru

Larin (34' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zavaleta (19' og.), Lapadula (40' pen.), Reyna (81'), Cueva (86' pen.)
Cartagena (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Peru
Sunday, September 25 at 2am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Peru 1-2 El Salvador

With El Salvador having a much more settled side and Peru having a manager who is only taking charge of his second game for the national team, there is a chance for El Salvador to pick up a really good result here. After their draw against the USA, a win in this fixture could definitely be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.

Result
El SalvadorDrawPeru
36.49% (-20.132 -20.13) 26.37% (1.157 1.16) 37.15% (18.973 18.97)
Both teams to score 53% (10.405 10.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (6.612 6.61)51.74% (-6.615 -6.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (5.455 5.46)73.51% (-5.459 -5.46)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-6.749 -6.75)27.39% (6.745 6.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-9.65 -9.65)62.86% (9.647 9.65)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (19.317 19.32)27.01% (-19.32 -19.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (19.61 19.61)62.36% (-19.615 -19.62)
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 36.49%
    Peru 37.15%
    Draw 26.37%
El SalvadorDrawPeru
1-0 @ 9.58% (-5.501 -5.5)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-1.04 -1.04)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-5.697 -5.7)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-1.312 -1.31)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-3.583 -3.58)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.441 0.44)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.766 -0.77)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.49%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.93 0.93)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-2.166 -2.17)
2-2 @ 5.32% (1.791 1.79)
3-3 @ 1% (0.526 0.53)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.68% (2.324 2.32)
1-2 @ 8.21% (3.741 3.74)
0-2 @ 6.34% (3.506 3.51)
1-3 @ 3.58% (2.436 2.44)
0-3 @ 2.77% (2.039 2.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (1.415 1.42)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.952 0.95)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.765 0.77)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Peru
Sunday, September 25 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Australia 0-0 Peru (5-4 pen.)
Monday, June 13 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Peru 2-0 Paraguay
Wednesday, March 30 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 1-0 Peru
Thursday, March 24 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Ecuador
Wednesday, February 2 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, June 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 3-1 Grenada
Sunday, June 5 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 0-4 Guatemala
Monday, April 25 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 El Salvador
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: El Salvador 1-2 Costa Rica
Sunday, March 27 at 10.05pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America


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