SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.51%) and 3-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mexico in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mexico.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | El Salvador |
| 65.65% | 24.3% | 10.05% |
| Both teams to score 28.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.81% | 67.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.6% | 85.39% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% | 20.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% | 53.28% |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.71% | 64.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.31% | 92.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | El Salvador |
| 1-0 @ 20.95% 2-0 @ 16.51% 3-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 3.83% 4-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.39% Total : 65.65% | 0-0 @ 13.29% 1-1 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 5.87% 1-2 @ 2.05% 0-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.83% Total : 10.05% |
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