SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Peru |
50.79% ( -0.34) | 24.92% ( 0) | 24.29% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.02% ( 0.3) | 50.98% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% ( 0.26) | 72.85% ( -0.26) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( -0.02) | 20.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( -0.03) | 52.31% ( 0.04) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( 0.47) | 35.75% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( 0.48) | 72.52% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 50.79% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 1% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 24.29% |
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