SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 6 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Austria | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Sweden | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 5 | Estonia | 6 | -16 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Thailand |
17.86% ( -0.55) | 22.83% ( 0.37) | 59.31% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( -2.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( -2.31) | 50.03% ( 2.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -2.1) | 72% ( 2.09) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.2% ( -2) | 41.79% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.74% ( -1.8) | 78.26% ( 1.79) |
| Thailand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( -0.74) | 16.52% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.73% ( -1.35) | 46.27% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estonia | Draw | Thailand |
| 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.86% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 11.19% ( 0.49)1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.93% Total : 59.31% |
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