With Estonia able to name more experienced players than Iceland, we can envisage a share of the spoils in Portugal on Sunday in what is likely to be a low tempo affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Estonia
36.11%	26.37%	37.53%

Both teams to score 52.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.24%

51.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47%

73.52%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84%

63.16%

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2%

26.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91%

62.08%

Score Analysis

Iceland 36.11%

Estonia 37.53%

Draw 26.37%

Iceland	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.53%