SM
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Estonia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Finland | Draw | Estonia |
43.04% ( 0.14) | 27.79% ( -0.35) | 29.17% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% ( 1.27) | 58.8% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.68% ( 0.97) | 79.31% ( -0.98) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0.67) | 27.07% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( 0.87) | 62.44% ( -0.88) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% ( 0.84) | 35.93% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( 0.85) | 72.71% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finland | Draw | Estonia |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.47)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.97% Total : 29.17% |
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