SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Estonia |
26.53% ( -0.01) | 23.16% ( 0) | 50.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.54% ( -0.03) | 41.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.14% ( -0.03) | 63.86% ( 0.03) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.02) | 28.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -0.03) | 64.67% ( 0.03) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.01) | 16.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( -0.02) | 46.45% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Marino | Draw | Estonia |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.53% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
