Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Mexico win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mexico | Draw | Germany |
28.57% (![]() | 24.21% (![]() | 47.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.24% (![]() | 44.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.88% (![]() | 67.12% (![]() |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.95% (![]() | 29.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.04% (![]() | 64.96% (![]() |
Germany Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% (![]() | 19.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.32% (![]() | 50.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Mexico | Draw | Germany |
2-1 @ 7.02% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 11.34% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 9.4% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.23% |
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