Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 2 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 3 |
3 | North Macedonia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Ukraine | 1 | -2 | 0 |
5 | Malta | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Germany | Draw | Ukraine |
60.81% ( -0.16) | 20.66% ( 0.08) | 18.53% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.46% ( -0.29) | 39.54% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.11% ( -0.3) | 61.89% ( 0.3) |
Germany Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% ( -0.14) | 12.59% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.32% ( -0.29) | 38.68% ( 0.29) |
Ukraine Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.15% ( -0.09) | 34.85% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% ( -0.1) | 71.59% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Germany | Draw | Ukraine |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 60.81% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.53% |
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