SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | USA | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for England in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for England.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Ukraine |
51.47% ( -0.77) | 25.74% ( 0.28) | 22.79% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.59% ( -0.57) | 55.41% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.39% ( -0.47) | 76.61% ( 0.47) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( -0.56) | 21.58% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( -0.86) | 54.66% ( 0.86) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( 0.16) | 39.6% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% ( 0.15) | 76.28% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.46% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.79% |
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