SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Japan had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Japan win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Japan |
53.21% ( -0.32) | 24.19% ( 0.18) | 22.59% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( -0.57) | 49.62% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( -0.52) | 71.64% ( 0.52) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( -0.34) | 18.59% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.14% ( -0.57) | 49.86% ( 0.57) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.18) | 36.54% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.67% ( -0.19) | 73.33% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.21% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.59% |
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