SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | Andorra |
29.54% ( 1.17) | 25.87% ( 0.95) | 44.59% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( -2.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( -3.37) | 51.33% ( 3.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( -3.02) | 73.16% ( 3.01) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( -0.88) | 31.71% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( -1.03) | 68.13% ( 1.02) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( -2.37) | 22.95% ( 2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.27% ( -3.62) | 56.72% ( 3.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Andorra |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.54% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.93)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.47)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.34)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.08% Total : 44.58% |
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