SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 85.93%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 3.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.59%) and 1-0 (13.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.28%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Northern Ireland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northern Ireland.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Andorra |
85.93% ( -0.05) | 10.98% ( 0.03) | 3.08% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 26.29% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% ( 0.02) | 43.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.95% ( 0.02) | 66.04% ( -0.02) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.62% ( -0.01) | 7.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.4% ( -0.02) | 26.6% ( 0.02) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 28.38% ( 0.14) | 71.61% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.47% ( 0.05) | 95.52% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Andorra |
| 2-0 @ 17.94% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 15.59% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.48% Total : 85.9% | 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 1-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 10.98% | 0-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 3.08% |
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