SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Serbia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Hungary |
65.19% ( 1.01) | 21.66% ( -0.53) | 13.15% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( 1) | 53.54% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( 0.84) | 75.05% ( -0.84) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( 0.68) | 15.75% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.14% ( 1.24) | 44.86% ( -1.25) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.57% ( -0.17) | 50.43% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.05% ( -0.12) | 84.95% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Serbia | Draw | Hungary |
| 1-0 @ 14.68% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.8% Total : 65.18% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.41% Total : 13.15% |
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