SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Malta had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Malta win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Greece |
24.35% ( 0.11) | 22.89% ( 0.01) | 52.76% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.82% ( 0.07) | 42.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( 0.07) | 64.58% ( -0.07) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( 0.13) | 30.9% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( 0.15) | 67.19% ( -0.15) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( -0.01) | 16.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.65% ( -0.03) | 45.35% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | Greece |
| 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 24.35% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)1-5 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 52.76% |
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