SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.45%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Burkina Faso |
44.8% ( -0.13) | 31.28% ( 0.06) | 23.91% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 35.32% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.74% ( -0.1) | 71.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.97% ( -0.06) | 88.02% ( 0.06) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% ( -0.13) | 32.33% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.16% ( -0.14) | 68.84% ( 0.14) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.2% ( 0.01) | 47.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.92% ( 0) | 83.08% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 17.44% 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 44.79% | 0-0 @ 15.45% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 31.28% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 23.91% |
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