SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Belgium | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Canada | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 47.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morocco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Burkina Faso |
47.14% ( 0.07) | 28.14% ( -0.05) | 24.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.87% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.8% ( 0.14) | 62.2% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.11% ( 0.1) | 81.88% ( -0.1) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( 0.1) | 26.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( 0.13) | 61.75% ( -0.13) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.37% ( 0.06) | 41.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.88% ( 0.05) | 78.11% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.71% |
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