SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Iran had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Iran win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Iran |
50.94% ( 1.9) | 26.16% ( 2.95) | 22.9% ( -4.84) |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( -13.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( -16.06) | 56.85% ( 16.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.22% ( -14.6) | 77.78% ( 14.6) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( -5.56) | 22.4% ( 5.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( -9.08) | 55.91% ( 9.08) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.69% ( -12.72) | 40.31% ( 12.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.06% ( -13.81) | 76.94% ( 13.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 13.51% ( 5.23) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 2.73)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.66)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -1.06)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -1.55)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.8)Other @ 2.85% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 1.62) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 4.39)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -1.94)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 2.22) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -1.29)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -1.26)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -1.36)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.52)Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.9% |
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