SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Wales | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Iran | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Wales had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Iran |
29.64% ( 0.73) | 27.11% ( -0.1) | 43.25% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 48.89% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% ( 0.69) | 56.16% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.79% ( 0.56) | 77.22% ( -0.55) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( 0.92) | 34.16% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( 0.98) | 70.85% ( -0.97) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0) | 25.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( -0.01) | 60.67% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.25% |
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