SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Nicaragua |
58.52% ( 0.12) | 23.16% ( -0.02) | 18.32% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( -0.04) | 50.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( -0.04) | 72.58% ( 0.04) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( 0.03) | 17.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.83% ( 0.05) | 47.17% ( -0.05) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.37% ( -0.13) | 41.63% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.89% ( -0.12) | 78.11% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 58.5% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.32% |
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