SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%).
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Venezuela |
37.65% ( -12.3) | 28.52% ( 4.88) | 33.83% ( 7.42) |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( -11.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.78% ( -16.52) | 60.23% ( 16.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% ( -14.31) | 80.41% ( 14.31) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -13.23) | 30.83% ( 13.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( -18.94) | 67.11% ( 18.94) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( -3.21) | 33.29% ( 3.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.09% ( -3.69) | 69.91% ( 3.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 2.87) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -1.78)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.89)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -2.49)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -1.84)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -1.65)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -1.51)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.64% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 2.24) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 4.97)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -1.47)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.51% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 4.92) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.67)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 2.39)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.75)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.73)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.83% |
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