SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Ivory Coast |
27.39% ( 1.69) | 29.65% ( 0.7) | 42.96% ( -2.4) |
| Both teams to score 41.01% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.53% ( -1.34) | 65.47% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.78% ( -0.94) | 84.22% ( 0.94) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.73) | 41.11% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.34% ( 0.64) | 77.66% ( -0.64) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( -1.97) | 30.35% ( 1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( -2.41) | 66.54% ( 2.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 27.39% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.64% | 0-1 @ 14.87% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.55)1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.29% Total : 42.95% |
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